PREAMBLE |
1. | CHAIRMANS LETTER | ||
2. | INCREASE IN OFFER CONSIDERATION | ||
3. | IMPORTANT DEVELOPMENTS |
3.1 | Northern Territory Government Announcement | ||
3.2 | MPALs Targets Statement |
4. | REASONS WHY THE REVISED OFFER IS ATTRACTIVE | ||
5. | NOTICES | ||
6. | ASIC CLASS ORDER 01/1543 | ||
7. | APPROVAL OF SUPPLEMENTARY BIDDERS STATEMENT AND NOTICES |
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o | increase the consideration being offered by over 26%* to a value of A$2.00 (Revised Benchmark Offer Consideration), by: |
§ | increasing the share swap ratio to 7.5 Magellan Shares for every 10 MPAL Shares; and | ||
§ | adding 10 cents of cash per MPAL share (Additional Cash Consideration).
(Revised Offer); |
o | extend our Offer until 9 March 2006; |
o | highlight the negative impact on MPAL which emerges from the recent Northern Territory Government announcement in respect of uncontracted Mereenie gas beyond 2009; |
o | correct the shortcomings and inconsistencies made by PricewaterhouseCoopers Securities Ltd (PwC), MPALs independent expert, in its valuation analysis contained in MPALs Targets Statement, to more properly reflect relative values and the level of dilution in asset values that MPAL Shareholders would experience under the Offer; |
o | emphasise the liquidity of Magellan Shares trading on NASDAQ; and |
o | state why, in our opinion, we believe the Revised Offer is attractive to MPAL Shareholders. |
§ | A$1.39 the latest closing price for MPAL Shares...................... a premium of 44% | ||
§ | A$1.35 closing price of MPAL on Offer Announcement Date...... a premium of 48% |
* | Compared to the initial Benchmark Offer Consideration of A$1.582, as per the Original Bidders Statement. Throughout this document a US$/A$ exchange rate of 0.75 is assumed. |
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(a) | is equivalent to A$2.00 per MPAL Share; | |
(b) | represents an increase in excess of 26% over the Benchmark Offer Consideration of A$1.582 outlined in the Original Bidders Statement; and | |
(c) | values MPAL at A$93.4 million, an increase of approximately A$19.5 million in the capitalised value of MPAL (despite the negative implications in regard to the Northern Territory Government announcement see Section 3.1 below); |
(i) | one month after the date MPAL Shareholders validly accept the Offer; or | ||
(ii) | one month after the date the Offer becomes or is declared unconditional, |
(a) | Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities decreases by US$1.57 million; | |
(b) | Goodwill increases by US$8.10 million; | |
(c) | Deferred income tax liability increases by US$0.40 million; and | |
(d) | Shareholders equity increases by US$6.13 million. |
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3 | IMPORTANT DEVELOPMENTS | |
3.1 | Northern Territory Government Announcement | |
On 23 December 2005, shortly after lodging its Targets Statement which recommended rejection of Magellans Offer, MPAL advised the Australian Stock Exchange and the market of an important announcement by the Northern Territory Government in regard to gas supplies beyond 2009. | ||
MPAL presently supplies gas from its Mereenie field to the Northern Territorys Power and Water Corporation. Supply agreements expire by June 2009. | ||
The Northern Territory Government announcement confirmed the signing of a heads of agreement with a third party, Eni Australia Limited by which they will work together exclusively to negotiate the necessary commercial terms of a gas sale agreement for the supply of gas from the Blacktip field to meet the Northern Territorys long term gas requirements from 2009. | ||
MPAL published a supplementary targets statement on 3 January 2006 which stated that the approximate value of the uncontracted gas sales from the Mereenie field beyond 2009 was A$19.3 million, as used in PwCs valuation of MPAL for the Targets Statement. It is likely that MPALs potential market for Mereenies uncontracted gas beyond 2009 will now be lost and that the value of those gas sales may reduce to nil. | ||
The mid-point value of MPAL as determined by PwC in the Targets Statement was A$96 million (that is, A$2.06 per share). Taking into account the full value of the likely loss of uncontracted Mereenie gas sales beyond 2009, we estimate that the notional intrinsic value of MPAL would be A$76.7 million (that is, A$1.65 per share), a reduction of approximately A$19.3 million. | ||
3.2 | MPALs Targets Statement | |
MPALs independent directors recommended rejection of the original Offer on the basis of the report of the independent expert. | ||
Magellan believes that MPALs Target Statement contains fundamental shortcomings particularly within the PwC report: |
Ø | When assessing the value of the Magellan, it appears that PwC did not give due consideration to the market value of Magellan Shares which we believe yields a more accurate value of Magellan for the following reasons: |
- | Non-controlling, minority shareholders in a company, by definition, would not have, and cannot expect to have, direct access to a companys underlying net asset base or intrinsic value; and | ||
- | Magellan is offering the non-controlling, minority shareholders of MPAL securities in a company which is a going concern and which has an active market in its shares in the United States. |
Ø | PwC, in its assessment of intrinsic values, uses two different methodologies in determining the negative value of corporate costs in each of MPAL and Magellan. | ||
Ø | PwC, in valuing Magellan and MPAL, applies a discount to Magellans consolidated intrinsic value to differentiate between controlling share value and minority share value, but compares this only to a controlling share value for MPAL. |
The financial effects of those inconsistencies are both absolute and relative: |
Ø | We believe that the true value of Magellan is measured by the trading performance of its shares. The market for Magellans Shares is particularly active on NASDAQ in the United States (see comparisons in section 4 below). As stated in PwCs independent experts report, the volume weighted average price of Magellan Shares in the 38 days after the announcement of the Offer was US$1.70. This exceeds PwCs assessment which values Magellans mid-point post transaction intrinsic value as US$1.34 per Magellan Share (after successful completion of the Offer). |
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Ø | The volume weighted average price of Magellan Shares in the period subsequent to the Northern Territory Governments announcement (see above in section 3.1) is approximately US$1.90. Shortly before the completion and printing of this Supplementary Bidders Statement, the closing price for Magellan Shares was US$2.23. | ||
Ø | PwCs inconsistent calculation of the negative value of Magellans corporate costs results in an understatement, in our opinion, of US$4.6 million in the overall intrinsic value of Magellan (US$0.114 per Magellan Share, post-completion of the Offer). | ||
Ø | PwC has assumed a minority discount factor of 20% in their assessment of Magellans intrinsic share value on the basis that there will not be any single dominant shareholders post merger, which serves to reduce the discount. In our opinion, the discount causes an understatement of US$13.75 million in PwCs overall intrinsic value for Magellan (US$0.34 per Magellan Share, post-completion of the Offer). | ||
Ø | If the PwC mid-point valuation of the intrinsic value of Magellan was extrapolated for the likely loss of uncontracted Mereenie gas sales beyond 2009, the flaws identified above, and the Revised Offer parameters (including the 10 cent cash outlay), the pro forma value of the Revised Offer increases appreciably. PwC assessed the value of the Offer (using intrinsic values) as A$1.25 per MPAL Share. An extrapolated and up-dated figure, in Magellans opinion, is A$1.46 per MPAL Share an increase of 17% over PWCs assessment of A$1.25 per MPAL Share. |
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o | A$1.39 the latest closing price for MPAL Shares............ a premium of 44% |
o | A$1.35 closing price on Offer Announcement Date......... a premium of 48% |
Average Trading Volume on NASDAQ or ASX in calendar 2005 | ||||||||
Monthly | Daily | |||||||
Magellan |
13.9 million | > 660,000 | ||||||
MPAL |
560,000 | 27,600 |
o | A significant value premium is being offered by Magellan; |
o | A cash component of 10 cents per MPAL Share is now a part of the Revised Offer; and |
o | Magellan owns other, non-MPAL assets. |
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5 | NOTICES | |
5.1 | Section 650D Notice | |
Magellan hereby gives notice under Section 650D of the Corporations Act that it varies the Offer contained in Appendix A of the Original Bidders Statement by: |
(i) | Increase in Offer Consideration | ||
increasing the Offer Consideration to 7.5 Magellan Shares for every 10 MPAL Shares and an additional 10 cents cash for each MPAL Share. Accordingly, all references to: |
(A) | 7 Magellan Shares for every 10 MPAL Shares in the Original Bidders Statement is taken to be deleted and replaced with 7.5 Magellan Shares for every 10 MPAL Shares and an additional 10 cents cash for each MPAL Share; and | ||
(B) | the issue of up to 14,700,000 new Magellan Shares in the Original Bidders Statement is taken to be deleted and replaced with up to 15,750,000 new Magellan Shares. |
In accordance with Section 650B(2A) of the Corporations Act, but subject to Clause 6 of Appendix A of the Original Bidders Statement, all MPAL Shareholders who accept, or have accepted, the Offer will be paid the additional 10 cents cash per MPAL Share at the same time as they are provided with the Offer Consideration; and | |||
(ii) | Extension of Offer Period | ||
extending the period during which the Offer will remain open for acceptance until 7.00 pm (Sydney time) on 9 March 2006. Accordingly, the Original Bidders Statement is hereby amended by replacing all references to 16 February 2006 in the Original Bidders Statement with references to 9 March 2006. |
5.2 | Section 630(2) Notice Conditions of the Offer | |
Magellan hereby gives notice under Section 630(2) of the Corporations Act that: |
(i) | the Offer is not free from any of the conditions set out in Clause 7 of Appendix A of the Original Bidders Statement; | ||
(ii) | so far as it is aware, none of the conditions set out in Clause 7 of Appendix A of the Original Bidders Statement were fulfilled as at the date of this Supplementary Bidders Statement; and | ||
(iii) | the new date range in Clause 7.6 of Appendix A of the Original Bidders Statement under Section 630 of the Corporations Act as to the status of conditions in Clause 7 of Appendix A of the Original Bidders Statement is between 23 February and 1 March 2006. |
6 | ASIC CLASS ORDER 01/1543 |
(a) | MPALs Target Statement, and | |
(b) | MPALs Supplementary Targets Statement. |
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7 | APPROVAL OF SUPPLEMENTARY BIDDERS STATEMENT AND NOTICES |
/s/ Walter J. McCann
|
/s/ Donald V. Basso | |||
Walter J. McCann
|
Donald V. Basso | |||
Chairman
|
Director | |||
/s/ Timothy L. Largay
|
/s/ Ronald P. Pettirossi | |||
Timothy L. Largay
|
Ronald P. Pettirossi | |||
Director
|
Director |
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Offer Premium On: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Magellan | Value of Share | Cash | MPAL Pre | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Share Price | Exch | Offer | Component | Component | Total Value | Announcement | Adjusted PwC | |||||||||||||||||||||
US$ | Rate | Ratio | A$ | A$ | A$ | Closing Price | Intrinsic Value | |||||||||||||||||||||
1.70 |
0.75 | 0.75 | 1.70 | 0.10 | 1.80 | 33 | % | 9 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
1.75 |
0.75 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 0.10 | 1.85 | 37 | % | 12 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
1.80 |
0.75 | 0.75 | 1.80 | 0.10 | 1.90 | 41 | % | 15 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
1.85 |
0.75 | 0.75 | 1.85 | 0.10 | 1.95 | 44 | % | 18 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
1.90 |
0.75 | 0.75 | 1.90 | 0.10 | 2.00 | 48 | % | 21 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
1.95 |
0.75 | 0.75 | 1.95 | 0.10 | 2.05 | 52 | % | 24 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
2.00 |
0.75 | 0.75 | 2.00 | 0.10 | 2.10 | 56 | % | 27 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
2.05 |
0.75 | 0.75 | 2.05 | 0.10 | 2.15 | 59 | % | 30 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
2.10 |
0.75 | 0.75 | 2.10 | 0.10 | 2.20 | 63 | % | 33 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
2.15 |
0.75 | 0.75 | 2.15 | 0.10 | 2.25 | 67 | % | 36 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Revised Benchmark Offer Consideration | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1.90 (VWAP)* |
0.75 | 0.75 | 1.90 | 0.10 | 2.00 | 48 | % | 21 | % |
* | VWAP is the volume weighted average share price of Magellan source: Bloomberg in the period since 23 December 2005 (the date of the Northern Territory Government announcement) |
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